If Australia and Afghanistan emerge victorious
There will be a tie with three teams finishing on four points. If Australia wins by a single run, Afghanistan will need to outscore Bangladesh by 36 runs to surpass Australia in net run rate. If Australia chases down a run on the last ball, Afghanistan will have to win their game in 15.4 overs or less (assuming first-innings scores of 160).
India is currently leading with an NRR of 2.425. For them to be eliminated, both Australia and Afghanistan would need to win by large margins. Australia would have to defeat India by 41 runs to surpass them in run rate, while Afghanistan would need to beat Bangladesh by at least 83 runs.
If India and Bangladesh emerge victorious
India will take the top spot in the group with six points, while the other three teams will be tied at two points each. In this scenario, NRR will determine the second team from the group. Australia, with an NRR of 0.223, is currently in the best position among the three teams: even if Afghanistan loses by just one run, Australia would need to lose by 31 runs for their run rate to drop below that of Afghanistan.
Bangladesh would need to win by 31 runs for their NRR to exceed that of Afghanistan’s, but they would also need Australia to lose by 55 runs in order to finish second in the group.
If Australia and Bangladesh emerge victorious
India and Australia would qualify for the semi-finals with four points, while Afghanistan and Bangladesh would finish with two points each.
If India and Afghanistan emerge victorious
India and Afghanistan would qualify for the semi-finals with six and four points, respectively.
