Therefore, Bangladesh, currently with a net run rate of -2.489, must secure a significant victory on Monday night to overtake Australia’s -0.331. A win by 62 or more runs, or a chase of 141 in 12.3 overs or less, will propel them to second place in the standings. If they tie the scores and win with a six, they can extend the chase to 13.1 overs. If Afghanistan scores 160, Bangladesh can maintain their advantage over Australia by chasing it down in 12.5 overs or fewer (if they score 161) or in 13.3 overs if they tie scores and win with a six.
For Afghanistan, the scenario is straightforward: a victory secures them second place in the group and a spot in the semi-finals, while a loss eliminates them. Even with a Super Over defeat, their net run rate will only improve to -0.433, still below Australia’s -0.331.
The team that finishes second in this group will face off against South Africa, the winners of Group 2, in Tarouba on Wednesday night, while India will clash with England in the second semi-final in Providence on Thursday afternoon.